Here are my predictions for twelve of the main categories at next month’s US Academy Awards.
Please note: These are not my favourite films (I have not seen most of them) nor are the ones I think most deserve to win necessarily. I am just making an educated guess at what will win.
Please note as well, that my track record on this is poor. Last year only a third of my predictions were correct!
Oscar loves worthy films like this…
12 Years a Slave *
Dallas Buyers Club
The Wolf of Wall Street
Assuming I got the Best Film right, this is a reasonably safe bet. The Best Picture’s director also wins 90% of the time (although this didn’t happen for Argo director Ben Affleck last year).
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave *
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
David O Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
Could conceivably also be Bale or McConaughey.
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave *
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
A consolation prize for Hustle? Might go to Bullock otherwise. Cate Blanchett was the favourite until the Woody Allen controversy. I’ve no idea why Naomie Harris didn’t get an Oscar for Long Walk To Freedom. She richly deserved one.
Amy Adams, American Hustle *
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Best supporting actor
A brilliant performance. Fassbender deserves to win.
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave *
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Best supporting actress
I’ve no idea really!
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska *
Best animated feature
Despicable Me 2
Ernest and Celestine
The Wind Rises
Best adapted screenplay
Taking a risk here as the best film usually gets a screenplay Oscar two out of three times. But that isn’t the same as every time is it?
Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke – Before Midnight
Billy Ray – Captain Phillips
Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope – Philomena
John Ridley – 12 Years a Slave
Terence Winter – The Wolf of Wall Street *
Best original screenplay
It won’t be Woody Allen anyway…
Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell – American Hustle
Woody Allen – Blue Jasmine
Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack – Dallas Buyers Club
Spike Jonze – Her
Bob Nelson – Nebraska *
Best foreign language film.
The Great Beauty (Italy)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium) *
The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
Best original song
Let It Go – Frozen *
Ordinary Love -: Long Walk to Freedom
Alone Yet Not Alone – Alone Yet Not Alone
Happy – Despicable Me 2
The Moon Song – Her
No idea! Although this is one of the few categories I got right last year.
The Act of Killing*
Cutie and the Boxer
20 Feet from Stardom